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2026 PGA Championship predictions: Best long-shot picks, bets at Aronimink

Sungjae Im at the Truist Championship. AP The Wanamaker Trophy normally gets lifted by a heavyweight.

Brooks Koepka has three wins at the PGA Championship since 2018. Justin Thomas has two since 2017. The last two winners were Scottie Scheffler and Xander Schauffele.

With that in mind, you’d think it would be a good idea to avoid sprinkling any long shots at Aronimink this week.

Although eight of the last 10 winners of the PGA Championship came from near the top of the betting board, the other two victors in that span were triple-digit bombs.

Phil Mickelson was as long as 300/1 when he shocked the sporting world and won the 2021 PGA Championship at Kiawah, and Jimmy Walker was 125/1 when he did the same at Baltusrol in 2016.

Here are three players who could pull off a similar stunner at Aronimink this week.

There aren’t too many players in this range with the all-around game that Im brings to the table.

The South Korean has been plagued by inconsistency since returning from injury in March, but he’s still finding a way to pop up on leaderboards here and there.

Im has two top-10 finishes in eight starts this season, and his most recent was a T5 at last week’s Truist Championship at Quail Hollow.

That tournament featured an elite field playing on a course that should compare well to Aronimink, so this may be the perfect time to buy in on Im’s resurgence.

Sometimes it takes a lot of convincing to back a long shot in a major.

But it shouldn’t be too hard to get on board with McCarty this week.

The 2024 Korn Ferry Tour Player of the Year has finished T12 or better in his last three outings, all of which came in Signature Events, including last week at Quail Hollow.

That kind of form rarely comes with this kind of price tag.

After grinding through some injury-plagued seasons, but he looked like he was trending in the right direction in 2025.

The Florida native posted nine top-25 finishes and a pair of top-5s in 22 starts last season, but his form this season has been less consistent.

He looked on his way to a win at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, but he came unglued Sunday and lost in a playoff.

Berger’s form since then has been spotty at best, but we’ve seen enough flashes of his immense upside to make this whopper of a price worth a hard look.

Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.

Read original at New York Post

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