David Peterson has struggled since the All-Star Break last season. AP The Mets are winners of four straight against the NL West.
After a dramatic victory Tuesday in extra innings after previously taking three of four from the Giants in San Francisco, Wednesday’s matchup with the Diamondbacks is the second of a three-game set where they will send David Peterson to the mound opposite righty Ryne Nelson.
Nelson is a pitcher from whom some sharp analytics experts expected improvements after dominant showings in spring training.
That has not yet translated in early showings, and the 4:10 p.m. ET start could again prove to be a troubling matchup as the Mets’ offense has looked strong over the past few games.
Carlos Mendoza’s group counters with a southpaw in Peterson, who has really struggled in his past 15 starts and is 0-1 with a 4.66 ERA through two starts this season.
Peterson had an ERA north of 9.00 in September last year, and hasn’t looked like his All-Star self from te first half last year.
Ryne Nelson could be a piece of a shootout in the MLB. Getty Images Neither pitcher inspires really any confidence for me from a betting perspective.
Nelson’s Statcast profile is among the worst in MLB, with his xERA among the lowest three percent the league so far.
This comes from his over-reliance on his fastball, which he throws 53 percent of the time.
He’s 0-1 with a 5.79 ERA spanning his first two starts.
The Mets are a fastball-hitting lineup, and righties Francisco Alvarez and Mark Vientos could be expected to show some success Wednesday despite cold temperatures making it difficult to lift the ball at Citi Field.
Target the “Yes Runs First Inning” (YRFI) at +118 on Kalshi, as I expect more offense again in this one.
THE PLAY: Mets-Diamondbacks Yes Runs First Inning (+118, Kalshi).
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