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Since the start of the year, the conflict in Iran has disrupted oil and gas markets, created supply bottlenecks, and driven oil prices higher. These disruptions have been a tailwind for oil and gas producers.
As a result, if you had invested $1,000 in ExxonMobil (NYSE:XOM) stock one year ago, that investment would be worth $1,432 today.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
This year has been volatile for the oil and gas industry, as the Iran conflict has disrupted the Straight of Hormuz, through which over 20 million barrels per day of crude oil, condensate, and refined petroleum products pass.
For ExxonMobil, the disruptions have been a boon. Brent crude oil has traded as high as $120 per barrel and has stayed above $70 per barrel since the conflict began.
This has driven strong upstream growth, but an even bigger driver is downstream refined fuels, where margins (crack spreads) have surged. For ExxonMobil, the world's largest non-state-owned refiner, this translates into significant downstream profits.
Through Sept. 30, Exxon's upstream earnings jumped 16% to $20.8 billion, driven by higher crude oil prices. Meanwhile, its downstream energy products earnings have surged 181% to $11.4 billion, driven by strong refining margins.
ExxonMobil has taken steps over the past several years to invest in cost-efficient, "advantaged assets" that help drive down the cost per barrel for oil. By focusing on these highly profitable assets, the company aims to lower its breakeven cost per barrel to $35 by 2027 and $30 by 2030, so even if oil prices retreat from their current highs, Exxon can keep profiting.
All that suggests this is a stock worth a closer look for potential addition to your portfolio.
In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. If you'd invested $5,000 then, you'd be sitting on $2,160,299 today.*
Now, for the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. It's a key player in the $1.8 trillion space race, and with the stock recently sitting 20% off its highs, the window to get in early is closing fast.
*Stock Advisor returns as of November 13, 2026.
Courtney Carlsen has positions in ExxonMobil. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
If You'd Invested $1,000 in ExxonMobil 1 Year Ago, Here's How Much You'd Have Today was originally published by The Motley Fool
