Nvidia trading flows: pricing, levels, and what comes next Investing.com Thu, November 12, 2026 at 3:45 PM EST 4 min read NVDA -4.29% Trade NVIDIA on Coinbase Trading disclosure Trading disclosure The above button links to Coinbase. Yahoo Finance is not a broker-dealer or investment adviser and does not offer securities or cryptocurrencies for sale or facilitate trading. Coinbase pays us for certain activity generated through this link. Prices displayed are informational.
Investing.com -- When examining Nvidia stock after CEO Jensen Huang stepped down, it seems the market priced in the scandal first and the resignation second. Per the tool data, as of Nov 12, 2026, 3:12 PM EST, NVIDIA (NVDA) trades at $163.91 (-5.66% on the day). That is -27.6% over one month, against a 52-week high of $243.37 (Oct 6, 2026).
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Oct 30 – Nov 4: a slow bleed from $213.66 to $200.13, so the stock was already weakening.
Nov 5:-9.3% to $181.60 on 306M shares, about 3x the typical ~100M. This was the first heavy-volume break, ahead of the resignation.
Nov 9–10: volume of 463M and 429M as the scandal built. Price fell to $168.89.
Nov 12: the resignation day. Volume hit 656M, the heaviest of the run. The pre-market print was $150.43 and the low was $148.88 (-14.3% intraday per the article). Buyers then lifted it to $163.91.
From $200.13 on Nov 4 to the Nov 11 close of $173.73, the stock lost about 13% before the resignation was announced. The resignation itself added a further -5.7% net. The $148.88 low to $163.91 close rebound is roughly 10%, which is the classic capitulation signature. Morningstar's comment that the reaction was "shutting the barn door after the horse has bolted" fits this tape. Read more (Nov 12, 2026)
There is no clean arbitrage, only a relative-value and event-risk setup.
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Fundamentals unchanged: StoneX said "our estimates are unchanged; the downgrade is about the multiple." Raymond James sees no EPS or revenue impact through 2028. Read more Consensus EPS revisions are flat over 7 and 30 days (+0.05%).
Valuation: FY2027 EPS is estimated at $9.29, putting the stock at about 17.6x. FY2028 EPS is $15.80, or about 10.4x. The price targets quoted in the articles run from $185 (Melius) to $240 (BMO), with Goldman at $220 and Baird at $200.
The mismatch: the multiple has compressed while estimates are intact. That is a bet that the discount is excessive, not a risk-free arb.
Peer spillover: AI-infrastructure names fell on the news, including CoreWeave (-4%), SMCI (-5.4%) and Dell (-2%). These are the more fragile links if Nvidia-backed financing is questioned. Read more
Sector divergence: SOXX is up 55% YTD while Nvidia is -13.7%. A long-semis, short-NVDA pair would be a bet on the idiosyncratic discount persisting. It would carry large gap risk around earnings.
The daily technicals read Strong Sell. Every moving average is below price: the SMA50 is at 215.91, the SMA200 at 204.33, and a bearish cross of the two is developing.
ADX is 39.5 with -DI at 51.8, so the trend is strong.
Open questions remain on the spy allegations and on whether any investigation reaches the company. Per Goldman, the CEO's role in negotiating multi-party ecosystem deals is hard to replace.
The interim CEO is also the CFO, and the permanent search is open-ended.
The $148.88 low was rejected on record volume, and the day's candle has a long lower wick.
The catalyst: earnings on Nov 17, 2026, after the close. The consensus is EPS $2.47 and revenue $108.8B. The last print beat by +6.7% and the stock rose +7%. The key questions are backlog and guidance, as Siebert's Malek put it ("are the orders still the orders?"). Implied volatility is likely elevated, so the event matters more than the technicals.
A break of NVIDIA (NVDA) below the $148.88 capitulation low would invalidate the rebound and open further downside.
Overhead, $173–174 (the pivot and the Nov 11 close) is the first resistance. A move in NVIDIA (NVDA) above $174 would signal the recovery is holding.
$186–187 (the Nov 6 close and the Oct high-volume gap) is the next hurdle.
Net read: a large part of the news appears priced in, given the volume spike and the intraday reversal. Further downside is possible, but it now depends more on the Nov 17 print and on the investigation headlines than on the resignation itself. Momentum remains firmly bearish until price reclaims the low-$170s.
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