David Jagielski, CPA, The Motley Fool Mon, November 9, 2026 at 2:41 PM EST 4 min read ANTH.PVT SPCX +5.22% NVDA -4.82% Explore stocks on Coinbase Trading disclosure Trading disclosure The above button links to Coinbase. Yahoo Finance is not a broker-dealer or investment adviser and does not offer securities or cryptocurrencies for sale or facilitate trading. Coinbase pays us for certain activity generated through this link. Prices displayed are informational.
Artificial intelligence (AI) company Anthropic is expected to go public this month, but now, amid plenty of uncertainty and bearishness in the tech sector, its valuation is likely to be far lower than previously projected. It's no longer expected to command a higher valuation than Space Exploration Technologies Corp (NASDAQ:SPCX), which went public at a value of around $1.8 trillion earlier this year.
Previously, Anthropic was expected to shatter that record with a valuation of around $2 trillion. It's reportedly come down significantly from those levels. If that's the case, should investors buy the IPO?
Missed AI's "Act 1"? Act 2 Could Be 16x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn't buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our analysts, we're only at the end of "Act 1"—the R&D phase. "Act 2" is the global rollout. Continue »
There's growing apprehension around the tech sector lately, and Anthropic's IPO may prove to have unfortunate timing. Now, analysts believe that even a $1.5 trillion valuation may not be attainable, and that Anthropic could dip to a valuation as low as $1 trillion.
At $1 trillion, however, even that puts the company's valuation in the same ballpark as blue chip stocks such as Walmart, Berkshire Hathaway, and JPMorgan Chase.
Anthropic's business has been growing fast, but its losses are also massive. In the third quarter, the company reported $17 billion in revenue, which was an increase of more than 1,100% year over year. However, it also posted a net loss of more than $23 billion. While its growth is impressive, the numbers don't reflect a business that belongs alongside some of the most successful and profitable companies in the world. SpaceX, which turned a profit in its most recent quarter, currently has a market cap of around $2 trillion, as its value has held up reasonably well since it went public in June.
I don't think Anthropic's business is worth a $1 trillion market cap. Competition is fierce, and that could make it difficult for the company to get out of the red. With SpaceX, the business has a wide range of growth opportunities, spanning space, AI, and telecom. Anthropic is not nearly as diversified and is a far riskier investment overall. Even at $1 trillion in market cap, I wouldn't be tempted to invest, as Anthropic's valuation could easily fall far lower given the risks and challenges it faces.
There are many other AI stocks that can be better options for investors to consider; Anthropic simply isn't worth the risk, as it still has a lot to prove.
Before you buy stock in Space Exploration Technologies, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Space Exploration Technologies wasn't one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $341,966!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $1,146,819!*
Now, it's worth noting Stock Advisor's total average return is 852% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 203% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.
*Stock Advisor returns as of November 9, 2026.
JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. David Jagielski, CPA has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Berkshire Hathaway, JPMorgan Chase, Space Exploration Technologies, and Walmart. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Anthropic's IPO May No Longer Value the Company Anywhere Near $2 Trillion. Does That Make it Worth Buying? was originally published by The Motley Fool
