Caleb Downs participates in drills during 2026 Ohio State Pro Day. Getty Images There already was a high level of anticipation around the Giants’ NFL Draft day plans, and that has doubled since Big Blue acquired an additional top-10 pick in the Dexter Lawrence trade, giving them two picks (No. 5 and No. 10) in Thursday’s first round.
The G-Men, who have plenty of holes to fill, are projected to take linebacker Sonny Styles with the No. 5 pick, based on the latest odds, but their move at the No. 10 is a bit murkier.
Betting markets are aligned on a favorite, but prediction markets see it being very close between two players.
Ohio State safety Caleb Downs, the reigning Big Ten Defensive Player of the Year, is the consensus favorite at sportsbooks. His odds to be selected with the 10th pick range from +275 (BetMGM) to +300 (bet365), as of Tuesday afternoon.
Arizona State wide receiver Jordyn Tyson trails just behind Downs on the board with +400 odds to be picked at No. 10.
Arizona State wide receiver Jordyn Tyson. AP Prediction market Kalshi has the two college stars flipped at the moment.
Traders are giving Tyson a 23 percent chance of being the 10th pick and Downs a 22 percent chance.
Tyson’s odds at Kalshi shot up dramatically over the weekend, right around the time the news dropped that the Giants traded Lawrence to the Bengals.
Considering the Giants recently brought former star Odell Beckham Jr. in for a physical, Tyson would fit one of the Giants’ big needs at receiver.
However, the difference between sportsbooks and prediction markets is notable.
Downs’ +300 odds at the sportsbooks translate to a 17.3 percent chance that he’ll be picked at No. 10, while Tyson’s odds translate to 13.3 percent.
With just days before the Giants are on the clock, we could see even more movement in these markets leading up to Thursday.
Malik Smith has been immersed in the sports betting industry since 2017. He’s a data nerd with a particular focus on the NBA and combat sports. He spends his weeknights in the winter looking for edges on plus-money NBA player props.
