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AI Chip Stocks Flash Signal Not Seen Since 2015

Via GuruFocus.com

AI Chip Stocks Flash Signal Not Seen Since 2015 Moz Farooque ACCA Fri, October 16, 2026 at 4:59 PM EDT SOXX -4.14% NVDA -1.43% AMD -5.95% MU -5.63% AVGO -4.52% Explore stocks on Coinbase Trading disclosure Trading disclosure The above button links to Coinbase. Yahoo Finance is not a broker-dealer or investment adviser and does not offer securities or cryptocurrencies for sale or facilitate trading. Coinbase pays us for certain activity generated through this link. Prices displayed are informational.

The AI chip trade is finally showing real signs of strain.

The iShares Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:SOXX) has fallen for eight consecutive sessions, its longest losing streak since September 2015, as investors reassess whether the enormous spending behind artificial intelligence infrastructure can continue at the same pace.

Warning! GuruFocus has detected 4 Warning Signs with NVDA.

Is NVDA fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator.

SOXX closed Thursday at $514.71, down about 12.6% from its Oct. 2 close of $588.90.

The ETF fell 4.5% on Wednesday and another 0.9% on Thursday.

The selloff is hitting some of the biggest names tied to the AI boom, including Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA), AMD (NASDAQ:AMD), Micron (NASDAQ:MU), Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO), Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) and Marvell (NASDAQ:MRVL).

The concern is increasingly shifting away from whether AI demand exists and toward how expensive that demand is to finance.

Higher borrowing costs, huge capital requirements and uncertainty over future returns are forcing investors to question whether hyperscalers and AI infrastructure providers can keep spending at current levels.

CoreWeave has become one of the clearest examples.

Shares fell more than 15% on Wednesday, while yields on its 2031 bonds moved above 16%, highlighting how expensive funding can become for companies trying to build enormous amounts of GPU capacity.

Those concerns matter for chipmakers because much of the sector's growth depends on customers continuing to expand data centers and buy increasingly expensive computing systems.

I think the most important thing about SOXX's eight-day losing streak is the contrast with what came before it.

Even after the recent drop, the ETF remains up roughly 70.9% year to date.

That means investors are not necessarily abandoning the AI thesis. They are questioning whether valuations and spending assumptions ran too far ahead of financing realities.

The next phase of the trade may therefore depend less on headline AI demand and more on cash flow, debt costs and returns on infrastructure spending.

For investors, the key things to watch are hyperscaler capex guidance, AI cloud financing costs, memory pricing and whether Nvidia, AMD and other chipmakers continue seeing order growth despite tighter financial conditions.

If spending remains strong, the pullback could prove temporary. If borrowing costs begin forcing customers to delay projects, however, the semiconductor sector may face a much more fundamental reset.

Read original at Yahoo Finance News

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