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China’s CXMT and Broadcom’s CEO Rattle Chip Stocks: Which Fear Matters More for Micron?

Via TIKR

China’s CXMT and Broadcom’s CEO Rattle Chip Stocks: Which Fear Matters More for Micron? Gian Estrada Tue, October 13, 2026 at 1:37 PM EDT 3 min read MU -5.28% AVGO +0.37% NVDA +0.31% SKHY -4.40% 688825.SS -2.79% Explore stocks on Coinbase Trading disclosure Trading disclosure The above button links to Coinbase. Yahoo Finance is not a broker-dealer or investment adviser and does not offer securities or cryptocurrencies for sale or facilitate trading. Coinbase pays us for certain activity generated through this link. Prices displayed are informational.

The chip selloff rolled into a second day on Tuesday, October 13. Micron (MU:NASDAQ) was down about 4.5% by 10 a.m. ET, after a 3.9% drop on Monday. Nvidia (NVDA:NASDAQ) and Broadcom (AVGO:NASDAQ) each slipped about 1% before the bell, Forbes reported. Asia took the worst of it overnight: SK Hynix fell 10.1% and Samsung 7.4%.

The stocks fell together, but for two different reasons.

The first is China. Over the weekend in Shanghai, memory maker CXMT said it had made "key progress" on a denser DRAM cell design that Samsung and SK Hynix are also chasing, and that it plans a server-memory product built on it by the end of 2026, according to the South China Morning Post. Research firm TrendForce, cited by Forbes, estimates the design could pack 30% to 50% more memory into the same chip area.

The second came from inside the industry. SSpeaking in Singapore on Monday, Broadcom CEO Hock Tan said "a lot of investors have no clue what they are investing in," and compared AI investing to a casino. He also warned that access to capital could become the biggest constraint on AI growth.

CXMT is aiming at the most profitable part of the memory market. TIKR's data shows Micron's gross margin climbing from 37.72% in the quarter ended May 2025 to 86.76% in the quarter ended September 2026, a 49-point jump in five quarters, driven by tight supply of AI server memory.

Margins that high depend on scarce supply. A credible new supplier threatens pricing even before it ships. CXMT's first products may only partly use the new design, but its end-of-2026 target gives the market a date to worry about.

Nvidia and Broadcom already trade near the bottom of their three-year ranges. Nvidia sits at 18.71x forward earnings, against a 30.41x average and a 17.51x low. Broadcom trades at 20.47x, against a 30.03x average and an 18.51x low.

Micron looks cheapest at 5.61x (its three-year average is skewed by the losses of the 2023 memory downturn). That multiple says the market doesn't believe 86% gross margins will last.

The selloff treats these stocks as one trade. The data says they aren't.

Micron's risk is direct: its earnings sit on peak margins, and CXMT is going after exactly that product. Nvidia and Broadcom face Hock Tan's worry instead, which is about how long customers can keep funding AI spending, and their multiples already price in a good part of that doubt, at a third or more below their three-year averages.

The one to watch is Micron. If CXMT launches on schedule by the end of 2026 and scales competitive server memory, it could put pressure on memory pricing and Micron's margins.

TIKR lets you forecast the future price of any stock in less than a minute. Just enter a few assumptions into TIKR's valuation model and see what MU stock could be worth. Start from Wall Street consensus estimates, or adjust the inputs to reflect your own view of the business. It's free to use.

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Read original at Yahoo Finance News

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