Louisville head coach Pat Kelsey reacts during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Miami, Saturday, March 7, 2026, in Coral Gables, Fla. AP Fanatics Sportsbook promo code NYPOST gives new bettors a bonus offer for March Madness when they make their first wager: Bet $5, get $200 FanCash instantly.
Louisville enters the ACC Tournament at 22-9 and ranked No. 24 in the AP poll, yet the Cardinals still sit outside the national spotlight after a sixth-place finish in the conference.
Miami carries the higher seed into Thursday’s matchup, but power ratings point toward a far tighter game than the bracket suggests.
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Advanced metrics consistently rate Louisville as the stronger profile with two-way balance, with the Cardinals ranking 14th in KenPom offensive efficiency and inside the top 30 defensively.
Louisville also enters with tournament rhythm after beating SMU on Wednesday, following several days of rest, giving the Cardinals both recent game reps and fresh legs heading into the matchup.
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Sean Treppedi handicaps the NFL, NHL, MLB and college football for the New York Post. He primarily focuses on picks that reflect market value while tracking trends to mitigate risk.