Make New York Post a Preferred Source Green Bay Packers wide receiver J. Michael Sturdivant (87) is shown during the fourth quarter of their game Thursday, Sept. 24, 2026 at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin. The Atlanta Falcons beat there Green Bay Packers 35-14. USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect Week 4 NFL DFS players can use the Underdog promo code NYPOST to play $5, get $100.
Green Bay and Tampa Bay enter Sunday desperate for a turnaround after combining for just one win through the first three weeks.
The Packers are 3.5-point road favorites largely because Tampa Bay will hand undrafted rookie Jalon Daniels his first NFL start with Baker Mayfield sidelined by a dislocated thumb.
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Green Bay has hardly justified laying points, however, going 0-3 ATS overall and 0-3 ATS as a favorite this season.
The Packers’ offense ranks 25th in EPA per play and 28th in success rate, while its depleted rushing attack sits dead last in EPA per rush.
Tampa Bay’s sixth-ranked defense in EPA per play gives the winless Bucs a chance to make Daniels’ debut considerably more manageable.
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Sean Treppedi handicaps the NFL, NHL, MLB and college football for the New York Post. He primarily focuses on picks that reflect market value while tracking trends to mitigate risk.