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NFL Week 4 Survivor pool rankings: Strategy, advice and model picks

Make New York Post a Preferred Source Lamar Jackson and the Ravens will be the top Survivor picks this week. REUTERS Kansas City came through for almost everyone last week who did the right thing and used the Chiefs in Week 3.

We move on to Week 4, where we have two double-digit favorites to choose from, and those should be most of your entries this week, but which is the best long-range option?

As always, the beauty is in the eye of the beholder in Survivor pick ‘em tournaments, as you’ll always see a handful of upsets each week to keep you on your toes.

Last week, Marcus Mariota and the Commanders upset the Seahawks in an impressive and bizarre fashion that eliminated 1,111 entries in the Circa Survivor contest, 12.9 percent of remaining entrants.

Baltimore comes in here as 11.5-point favorites, and if what we saw from Robert Saleh and the Tennessee Titans in Week 3 was any indication of the rest of the Titans season, then you’re probably safe here.

Baltimore has been solid so far this season, and it looks like their team’s health is going in the right direction too, with Zay Flowers playing well on a limited snap count.

The Titans could keep it close; I’m not saying Baltimore covers here, as Saleh’s defense could come out with a spirited performance – but the Ravens are more talented at every position group, especially quarterback.

I suspect that the Ravens will be the highest percentage of Survivor players this weekend and for good reason.

It’s asking a lot to have Malik Willis walk into Minnesota, where he did admittedly have success while with the Packers, and beat a Vikings team without its top weapon in De’Von Achane.

Achane is out for the year with a torn ACL, not like he was being used in a real way anyway by the team.

But there are no real playmakers to speak of in Miami, and while they had a decent effort at home in Kansas City this past weekend, Minnesota is a tough place to play.

The Vikings are probably my top play of the week for my value hunters who were probably burned by the Buccaneers in Week 2.

Minnesota Vikings quarterback Kyler Murray (1) reacts after a play against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the fourth quarter at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida, Sunday, Sept. 27, 2026. IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect Betting on the NFL? Read our expert guide on how to bet on the NFL Check out the best NFL betting sites Get the BetMGM Bonus Code Week 4 Survivor model picks #TeamScoreNext best use1Ravens vs. TEN -11.580.7Week 16 vs CLE 80.6%(No. 1)2Vikings vs MIA -10.578.6Week 12 vs ATL 66.1%(No. 3)3Seahawks vs LAC -6.568.7Week 9 vs ARI 76.8%(No. 1)4Bills vs. NE -6.568.7Week 11 vs MIA 86.7%(No. 1)5Chiefs at LV -4.563.4Week 11 vs ARI 78.7%(No. 2)6Lions at CAR -3.560.5Week 9 at MIA 75.0%(No. 3)7Packers at TB -3.560.3Week 15 vs MIA 78.2%(No. 1)8Coltsat WAS -3.560.3Week 10 vs MIA 73.4%(No. 3)9Bears vs NYJ -3.059.2Week 14 at MIA 74.2%(No. 1)10Steelers at CLE -2.557.6Week 8 vs CLE 64.5%(No. 4)11Rams at PHI -2.557.6Week 6 vs ARI 80.8%(No. 1)1249ers vs DEN -2.557.5Week 9 vs LV 74.2%(No. 4)13Saints vs ATL -2.557.4Week 9 vs CLE 62.9%(No. 9)14Bengals vs JAX -2.557.4Week 18 vs CLE 75.4%(No. 4)15Texans vs. DAL -2.557.4Week 18 vs TEN 73.6%(No. 5)16Cardinals at NYG -1.052.7Week 17 vs LV 52.1%(No. 12)17Giants vs ARI +1.047.3Week 15 vs CLE 66.8%(No. 2)18Cowboys at HOU +2.542.6Week 8 vs ARI 72.2%(No. 1)19Jaguars at CIN +2.542.6Week 12 vs TEN 68.4%(No. 1)20Falcons at NO +2.542.6Week 14 at CLE 52.2%(No. 14)21Broncos at SF +2.542.5Week 13 vs MIA 79.6%(No. 1)22Eagles vs LAR +2.542.4Week 13 at ARI 73.1%(No. 2)23Browns vs PIT +2.542.4Week 12 vs LV 50.7%(No. 16)24Jets at CHI +3.040.8Week 7 vs MIA 65.1%(No. 4)25Commanders vs IND +3.539.7Week 15 vs ATL 59.7%(No. 10)26Buccaneers vs GB +3.539.7Week 8 vs ATL 64.0%(No. 6)27Panthers vs DET +3.539.5Week 18 vs ATL 60.2%(No. 9)28Raiders vs KC +4.536.6Week 16 vs TEN 52.2%(No. 15)29Patriots at BUF +6.531.3Week 18 vs MIA 77.8%(No. 2)30Chargers at SEA +6.531.3Week 16 at MIA 72.7%(No. 2)31Dolphins at MIN +10.521.4Week 12 vs NYJ 42.2%(No. 26)32Titans at BAL +11.519.3Week 7 vs CLE 58.4%(No. 8) Why Trust New York Post Betting Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.

Read original at New York Post

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