United States' Roman Anthony, right, celebrates his two-run home run against the San Francisco Giants with United States' Cal Raleigh (29) during the sixth inning of an exhibition baseball game Tuesday, March 3, 2026, in Scottsdale, Ariz. AP The Kalshi promo code NYPMAX can be used on the World Baseball Classic prediction market to trade $10 and get $10 in bonus value.
The United States has an overwhelming lead in Kalshi’s 2026 World Baseball Classic market, with a 51 percent chance of winning over the other 19 teams.
Behind Team USA is the Dominican Republic, the only other team with an entire roster of MLB players, at 24 percent. Japan, the defending champions, is listed with a 20 percent chance.
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Upon sign-up, the Kalshi promo code NYPMAX qualifies you to trade $10, get $10 at Kalshi.
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The biggest contract price differences between these teams come down to pitching.
The United States is favored because they bring an elite rotation to the tournament, with Paul Skenes and Logan Webb each scheduled for two starts while Tarik Skubal is slated for a single pool play appearance against Great Britain and could still impact the team’s overall pitching strategy.
Skenes is even lined up for a potential championship game start, with additional depth coming from Matthew Boyd, an All-Star last season, and Nolan McLean, who posted a 2.06 ERA for the Mets in 2025.
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Sean Treppedi handicaps the NFL, NHL, MLB and college football for the New York Post. He primarily focuses on picks that reflect market value while tracking trends to mitigate risk.
