Scottie Scheffler lines up a putt on the third green during the second round of the Arnold Palmer Invitational golf tournament. IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect The 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational reaches its final round at Bay Hill Club and Lodge, with the PGA Florida Swing in full swing and virtually all of the top players in the world on the tee.
Scottie Scheffler had opened as the favorite at +310, followed by Rory McIlroy at +1000.
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Collin Morikawa came into the tournament seeking redemption after surrendering a 54-hole lead here last year and comes off a strong Pebble Beach win, with personal milestones aligning to give him extra motivation.
Tommy Fleetwood also entered with confidence after a Tour Championship victory last season, ranking near the top in scrambling and hole proximity over the last 24 rounds.
Matt Fitzpatrick continues an excellent season, ranking fourth on Tour in Strokes Gained: Approach and showing strong consistency at Bay Hill and other recent European Tour events.
Hideki Matsuyama combines elite scrambling with top-tier long-iron proximity, and if he can clean up his driving, he remains one of the few players capable of challenging Scheffler and McIlroy this week.
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Sean Treppedi handicaps the NFL, NHL, MLB and college football for the New York Post. He primarily focuses on picks that reflect market value while tracking trends to mitigate risk.
