Anthony Hernandez poses on the scale during the UFC Fight Night official weigh-in on Friday, August 21, 2026, at the Holiday Inn Sacramento Downtown - Arena in Sacramento. Zuffa LLC See more of our coverage in your search results.
Add The New York Post on Google The UFC heads west this weekend as we move to Sacramento this weekend.
UFC 330 was a bloodbath in the Octagon and on the betting sheets, with one of our worst outings of the year.
We move on to UFC Sacramento this weekend with 13 fights on the card, a few of which have come together on short notice.
Of the 13 fights, only 10 have props available, and sportsbooks are projecting a 60 percent finish rate.
A five-round fight is exactly what Anthony Hernandez prefers.
Hernandez has been training with now-champion Sean Strickland after he lost to him in February.
He comes in as a rightful favorite at -165 odds, and while Gregory Rodrigues comes in as a legitimate power puncher, he could find himself drowning a bit with Hernandez’s cardio.
Hernandez has maybe the best cardio in MMA with impressive wrestling and striking skills that Rodrigues has struggled with previously.
We saw Rodrigues lose in the fourth round by KO to Jared Cannonier and I think Hernandez can do similar things to Rodrigues if he chooses.
It’s tough to say whether he will win by finish or decision, but the longer the fight goes, the more it benefits “Fluffy Hernandez.”
I’ll target Hernandez to win in Over 1.5 rounds at +120 odds at DraftKings.
PREDICTION: Hernandez wins and Over 1.5 rounds (+120, DraftKings)
Vitor Petrino of Brazil poses on the scale during the UFC Fight Night official weigh-in at the Holiday Inn Sacramento Downtown – Arena in Sacramento, California, on Friday, August 21, 2026. Zuffa LLC Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino I’ve been such a supporter of Vitor Petrino in his UFC career that it will pain me to say that this line is too far out of whack.
Petrino is built like a Greek God, with serious power in his boxing and legitimate wrestling chops, featuring ground-and-pound and submission attempts.
Where he has fallen flat is that those muscles don’t hold lactic acid very well, and his cardio is suspect as a result.
Still, Petrino is just 28 and now enters a fight against Serghei Spivac as a favorite, despite Spivac coming off a career-best win against Ante Delija.
That is the best win either fighter has tallied in their respective careers.
I’m not so sure Petrino is going to just buzzsaw through Spivac considering what we saw in February.
Petrino hits hard, but it’s really tough to trust him here.
Spivac has just proven more of late, and Petrino has constantly let down in his UFC career with poor fight IQ and not enough activity.
PREDICTION: Spivac ML (+132, BetRivers)
Reinier de Ridder vs. Roman Dolidze: de Ridder ML for parlays | Double chance by submission or decision (-110, FanDuel)
MarQuel Mederos vs. Mason Jones: Live bet Jones after Round 1 if he survives
Carli Judice vs. Jeisla Chaves: Judice ML for parlays
Anthony Wint vs. Terrance Chatman: Wint by KO/TKO (-290, FanDuel)
Jamall Emmers vs. Lerryan Douglas: Douglas wins in Over 0.5 rounds (-200, DraftKings)
Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Shamil Gaziev: Over 0.5 rounds (-353, Polymarket) | Over 1.5 rounds (-124, BetRivers) | Fight goes the distance (+275, Caesars Sportsbook)
Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast: Padilla (+107, Polymarket)
Marcio Barbosa vs. Ryan Kuse: Barbosa KO/TKO in Round 1 (-165, FanDuel)
Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil: Young ML (-125, theScore Bet)
Shanelle Dyer vs. Elise Reed: Fight goes the distance (+150, BetRivers)
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.
